**Coastal Qingdao’s July 24 high-temperature market shows tight clustering between 30–33 °C, reflecting modest but meaningful forecast spread just 48 hours out.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on a warm, mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima near 28–31 °C, tempered by Yellow Sea breezes that limit inland-style heating. A weak short-wave trough and possible light rain or drizzle could further cap temperatures, while any delay in marine-layer formation or stronger solar heating under clearer skies would push readings into the low-30s. Historical July climatology (average daily maximum ~28 °C) places the current consensus slightly above normal, consistent with the market’s elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow band of uncertainty between a typical maritime-cooling scenario and a modestly warmer, less cloudy solution, with the next model runs and any updated CMA briefing likely to narrow the distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 24?
30°C 31%
31°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
31%
31°C
27%
32°C
21%
33°C or higher
10%
30°C 31%
31°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
23°C or below
$115 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Wol.
1%
27°C
$20 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
7%
29°C
$6 Wol.
12%
30°C
$1 Wol.
31%
31°C
$10 Wol.
27%
32°C
$64 Wol.
21%
33°C or higher
$32 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal Qingdao’s July 24 high-temperature market shows tight clustering between 30–33 °C, reflecting modest but meaningful forecast spread just 48 hours out.**
Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on a warm, mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima near 28–31 °C, tempered by Yellow Sea breezes that limit inland-style heating. A weak short-wave trough and possible light rain or drizzle could further cap temperatures, while any delay in marine-layer formation or stronger solar heating under clearer skies would push readings into the low-30s. Historical July climatology (average daily maximum ~28 °C) places the current consensus slightly above normal, consistent with the market’s elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow band of uncertainty between a typical maritime-cooling scenario and a modestly warmer, less cloudy solution, with the next model runs and any updated CMA briefing likely to narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$488Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal Qingdao’s July 24 high-temperature market shows tight clustering between 30–33 °C, reflecting modest but meaningful forecast spread just 48 hours out.**
Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on a warm, mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima near 28–31 °C, tempered by Yellow Sea breezes that limit inland-style heating. A weak short-wave trough and possible light rain or drizzle could further cap temperatures, while any delay in marine-layer formation or stronger solar heating under clearer skies would push readings into the low-30s. Historical July climatology (average daily maximum ~28 °C) places the current consensus slightly above normal, consistent with the market’s elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow band of uncertainty between a typical maritime-cooling scenario and a modestly warmer, less cloudy solution, with the next model runs and any updated CMA briefing likely to narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$488Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Coastal Qingdao’s July 24 high-temperature market shows tight clustering between 30–33 °C, reflecting modest but meaningful forecast spread just 48 hours out.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently converge on a warm, mostly cloudy day with daytime maxima near 28–31 °C, tempered by Yellow Sea breezes that limit inland-style heating. A weak short-wave trough and possible light rain or drizzle could further cap temperatures, while any delay in marine-layer formation or stronger solar heating under clearer skies would push readings into the low-30s. Historical July climatology (average daily maximum ~28 °C) places the current consensus slightly above normal, consistent with the market’s elevated probabilities for 31–33 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow band of uncertainty between a typical maritime-cooling scenario and a modestly warmer, less cloudy solution, with the next model runs and any updated CMA briefing likely to narrow the distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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