Latest National Weather Service model runs point to a high near 63°F at Chicago’s official O’Hare station on May 22, driven by a lingering cool air mass and northerly flow behind a recent frontal passage. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming potential from daytime mixing and partial sunshine, yet persistent cloud cover and a breeze could cap readings in the low-to-mid 60s. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–66°F range, consistent with the market’s closely bunched probabilities around those bins. Historical climatology for late May shows a normal high of roughly 73°F, underscoring how this cooler pattern deviates from seasonal averages and leaves room for modest forecast adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 22?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 22?
64-65°F 30%
66°F or higher 30%
62-63°F 23%
60-61°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
30%
66°F or higher
30%
64-65°F 30%
66°F or higher 30%
62-63°F 23%
60-61°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
$930 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$79 Wol.
1%
50-51°F
$79 Wol.
1%
52-53°F
$82 Wol.
1%
54-55°F
$852 Wol.
1%
56-57°F
$291 Wol.
2%
58-59°F
$283 Wol.
5%
60-61°F
$308 Wol.
10%
62-63°F
$276 Wol.
23%
64-65°F
$248 Wol.
30%
66°F or higher
$419 Wol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model runs point to a high near 63°F at Chicago’s official O’Hare station on May 22, driven by a lingering cool air mass and northerly flow behind a recent frontal passage. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming potential from daytime mixing and partial sunshine, yet persistent cloud cover and a breeze could cap readings in the low-to-mid 60s. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–66°F range, consistent with the market’s closely bunched probabilities around those bins. Historical climatology for late May shows a normal high of roughly 73°F, underscoring how this cooler pattern deviates from seasonal averages and leaves room for modest forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,804Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model runs point to a high near 63°F at Chicago’s official O’Hare station on May 22, driven by a lingering cool air mass and northerly flow behind a recent frontal passage. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming potential from daytime mixing and partial sunshine, yet persistent cloud cover and a breeze could cap readings in the low-to-mid 60s. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–66°F range, consistent with the market’s closely bunched probabilities around those bins. Historical climatology for late May shows a normal high of roughly 73°F, underscoring how this cooler pattern deviates from seasonal averages and leaves room for modest forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,804Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service model runs point to a high near 63°F at Chicago’s official O’Hare station on May 22, driven by a lingering cool air mass and northerly flow behind a recent frontal passage. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming potential from daytime mixing and partial sunshine, yet persistent cloud cover and a breeze could cap readings in the low-to-mid 60s. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–66°F range, consistent with the market’s closely bunched probabilities around those bins. Historical climatology for late May shows a normal high of roughly 73°F, underscoring how this cooler pattern deviates from seasonal averages and leaves room for modest forecast adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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