Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 10?
39°C 38%
40°C 32%
38°C 22%
37°C 5%
NOWE
$42,144 Wol.
NOWE
$42,144 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
22%
39°C
38%
40°C
32%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
39°C 38%
40°C 32%
38°C 22%
37°C 5%
NOWE
$42,144 Wol.
NOWE
$42,144 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
32°C or below
$6,283 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$3,388 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$1,022 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,799 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$2,960 Wol.
1%
37°C
$2,061 Wol.
5%
38°C
$11,766 Wol.
22%
39°C
$3,948 Wol.
38%
40°C
$3,247 Wol.
32%
41°C
$3,703 Wol.
2%
42°C or higher
$1,989 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,144Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42,144Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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