Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a persistent heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to reach afternoon highs of 34–36°C on July 10 under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions, well above the seasonal average of about 25°C, position 34°C and 35°C as the market leaders by reflecting consensus on limited cooling overnight and minimal cloud cover through midweek. Updated model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier 36–37°C peaks, aligning with the combined 67.5% implied probability for 33–35°C outcomes while leaving room for variance from steering patterns or urban heat island effects. Traders are monitoring the next Météo-France briefing for any intensification signals ahead of the short-term resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on July 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 10?
35°C 47%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
37°C 6.3%
NOWE
$56,822 Wol.
NOWE
$56,822 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
22%
35°C
47%
36°C
25%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
37°C 6.3%
NOWE
$56,822 Wol.
NOWE
$56,822 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
31°C or below
$4,537 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,812 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$5,615 Wol.
2%
34°C
$8,757 Wol.
22%
35°C
$7,996 Wol.
47%
36°C
$8,156 Wol.
25%
37°C
$4,418 Wol.
6%
38°C
$6,077 Wol.
1%
39°C
$2,845 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$3,145 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,464 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a persistent heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to reach afternoon highs of 34–36°C on July 10 under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions, well above the seasonal average of about 25°C, position 34°C and 35°C as the market leaders by reflecting consensus on limited cooling overnight and minimal cloud cover through midweek. Updated model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier 36–37°C peaks, aligning with the combined 67.5% implied probability for 33–35°C outcomes while leaving room for variance from steering patterns or urban heat island effects. Traders are monitoring the next Météo-France briefing for any intensification signals ahead of the short-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,822Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a persistent heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to reach afternoon highs of 34–36°C on July 10 under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions, well above the seasonal average of about 25°C, position 34°C and 35°C as the market leaders by reflecting consensus on limited cooling overnight and minimal cloud cover through midweek. Updated model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier 36–37°C peaks, aligning with the combined 67.5% implied probability for 33–35°C outcomes while leaving room for variance from steering patterns or urban heat island effects. Traders are monitoring the next Météo-France briefing for any intensification signals ahead of the short-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,822Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a persistent heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to reach afternoon highs of 34–36°C on July 10 under mostly sunny skies and light winds. These conditions, well above the seasonal average of about 25°C, position 34°C and 35°C as the market leaders by reflecting consensus on limited cooling overnight and minimal cloud cover through midweek. Updated model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier 36–37°C peaks, aligning with the combined 67.5% implied probability for 33–35°C outcomes while leaving room for variance from steering patterns or urban heat island effects. Traders are monitoring the next Météo-France briefing for any intensification signals ahead of the short-term resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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