Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on July 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 11?
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
NOWE
$16,904 Wol.
NOWE
$16,904 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
39%
37°C
25%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
NOWE
$16,904 Wol.
NOWE
$16,904 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
$612 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$420 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$412 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$457 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$702 Wol.
1%
34°C
$1,273 Wol.
4%
35°C
$1,552 Wol.
19%
36°C
$3,984 Wol.
39%
37°C
$2,539 Wol.
25%
38°C
$1,965 Wol.
6%
39°C or higher
$2,990 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,904Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,904Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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