Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 25?
40°C 33%
41°C 24%
39°C 21%
38°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
10%
38°C
16%
39°C
21%
40°C
33%
41°C
24%
42°C
6%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
40°C 33%
41°C 24%
39°C 21%
38°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
34°C or below
$330 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$42 Wol.
1%
36°C
$42 Wol.
1%
37°C
$48 Wol.
10%
38°C
$74 Wol.
16%
39°C
$40 Wol.
21%
40°C
$89 Wol.
33%
41°C
$78 Wol.
24%
42°C
$42 Wol.
6%
43°C
$63 Wol.
1%
44°C or higher
$37 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$885Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$885Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across southwest China, with Chongqing recording multiple days above 37°C in mid-July including a 40°C peak on July 10, underpin trader focus on 39–41°C outcomes for July 25. Short-range models show consensus near 37–40°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover, though slight disagreements on afternoon convection or steering patterns create the tight spread between those bins. Historical July maxima average 33–37°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline and persistence of the subtropical ridge favor the upper end. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs within 48 hours remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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