Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a highest temperature on June 29 most likely in the 28–32°C range, driven by persistent summer monsoon conditions, elevated sea surface temperatures, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures amid long-term warming trends. Scattered showers expected over the weekend could slightly suppress peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while limited model spread supports the market's emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics against climatological baselines, where daily highs typically average near 30–31°C this time of year, with resolution hinging on official observatory measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?
31°C 39%
30°C 25%
32°C 25%
29°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
25%
31°C
39%
32°C
25%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 25%
32°C 25%
29°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
25%
31°C
39%
32°C
25%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a highest temperature on June 29 most likely in the 28–32°C range, driven by persistent summer monsoon conditions, elevated sea surface temperatures, and the seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures amid long-term warming trends. Scattered showers expected over the weekend could slightly suppress peak readings by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while limited model spread supports the market's emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics against climatological baselines, where daily highs typically average near 30–31°C this time of year, with resolution hinging on official observatory measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania