Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 27?
24°C 41%
23°C 31%
25°C 24%
26°C 6%
NOWE
$50,324 Wol.
NOWE
$50,324 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
31%
24°C
41%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 31%
25°C 24%
26°C 6%
NOWE
$50,324 Wol.
NOWE
$50,324 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
21°C or below
$8,086 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$13,176 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,015 Wol.
31%
24°C
$4,039 Wol.
41%
25°C
$4,700 Wol.
24%
26°C
$3,972 Wol.
6%
27°C
$2,444 Wol.
1%
28°C
$3,615 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,404 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,434 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$2,587 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$50,324Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,324Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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