Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum temperature of 31.7°C at the primary station on October 2, 2026, with supporting automated station data confirming peaks near or slightly above this value under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and northeast monsoon influence. This verified observation underpins the near-certain market consensus on the 31°C outcome, consistent with typical early-October climatology around 29–31°C and the resolution criteria tied to official readings. Minor model or station discrepancies could theoretically shift categorization, though post-event data validation leaves little realistic scope for revision.