Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 10?
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
NOWE
$20,927 Wol.
NOWE
$20,927 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
39%
26°C
46%
27°C
16%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 39%
27°C 16%
24°C 2.3%
NOWE
$20,927 Wol.
NOWE
$20,927 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
20°C or below
$1,158 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,601 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,349 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,017 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,212 Wol.
2%
25°C
$3,896 Wol.
39%
26°C
$5,427 Wol.
46%
27°C
$2,400 Wol.
16%
28°C
$1,520 Wol.
1%
29°C
$675 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$671 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,927Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,927Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and regional guidance points to a July 10 maximum near 25–27 °C in Istanbul, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions feature a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, while northerly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes often cap daytime peaks a few degrees below inland values. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast adjustments in these factors can easily move the realized maximum across the 25–27 °C range. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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