Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific dominate Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 13, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion likely capping official station readings near 74–77°F. Recent model consensus favors this range at key reporting sites, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%) brackets. Subtle differences in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer persistence introduce the main uncertainty, as a stronger layer would suppress readings by 1–2°F while modest weakening allows marginal warming to the upper 70s. Updated NWS afternoon forecasts and station observations will resolve the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 13?
74-75°F 99.9%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$57,243 Wol.
$57,243 Wol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 99.9%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$57,243 Wol.
$57,243 Wol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific dominate Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 13, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion likely capping official station readings near 74–77°F. Recent model consensus favors this range at key reporting sites, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%) brackets. Subtle differences in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer persistence introduce the main uncertainty, as a stronger layer would suppress readings by 1–2°F while modest weakening allows marginal warming to the upper 70s. Updated NWS afternoon forecasts and station observations will resolve the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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