Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
30%
28°C
35%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 30%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
24°C or below
$888 Wol.
1%
25°C
$927 Wol.
2%
26°C
$1,386 Wol.
12%
27°C
$584 Wol.
30%
28°C
$2,991 Wol.
35%
29°C
$273 Wol.
18%
30°C
$560 Wol.
2%
31°C
$255 Wol.
1%
32°C
$621 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$133 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,659Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,659Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam's July 15 high near 28–30 °C under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 33 % implied probability. Model consensus shows modest warming from early-July coastal cooling, yet spread remains wide because small shifts in Atlantic trough position, low-level cloud, or easterly flow can trim or boost daytime maxima by 2–3 °C. Historical July averages near 22 °C underscore the above-normal signal, while resolution hinges on official KNMI observations rather than model output. Traders appear to price in this narrow but uncertain window ahead of final model runs and the 48-hour forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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