Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 15?
27°C 38%
28°C 34%
26°C 19%
29°C 5.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
19%
27°C
38%
28°C
34%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
28°C 34%
26°C 19%
29°C 5.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 15, 2026
20°C or below
$121 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$126 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$328 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$199 Wol.
1%
25°C
$672 Wol.
3%
26°C
$1,041 Wol.
19%
27°C
$426 Wol.
38%
28°C
$507 Wol.
34%
29°C
$1,100 Wol.
5%
30°C or higher
$394 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,084Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,084Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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