Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal guidance for above-normal summer temperatures, paired with ensemble model consensus from JMA and global systems, anchors trader focus on 32–33 °C outcomes for Tokyo’s July 14 maximum. Subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and limited ventilation amplifies daytime peaks; sea-breeze timing and any residual cloud cover introduce the narrow spread seen across 31–34 °C probabilities. Short-range forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 14?
33°C 43.3%
32°C 37.0%
34°C 15.7%
31°C 9.7%
NOWE
$48,621 Wol.
NOWE
$48,621 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
10%
32°C
37%
33°C
43%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43.3%
32°C 37.0%
34°C 15.7%
31°C 9.7%
NOWE
$48,621 Wol.
NOWE
$48,621 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
27°C or below
$5,158 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,527 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$7,071 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$11,265 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,244 Wol.
10%
32°C
$2,451 Wol.
37%
33°C
$2,311 Wol.
43%
34°C
$2,994 Wol.
16%
35°C
$5,885 Wol.
2%
36°C
$2,428 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$772 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal guidance for above-normal summer temperatures, paired with ensemble model consensus from JMA and global systems, anchors trader focus on 32–33 °C outcomes for Tokyo’s July 14 maximum. Subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and limited ventilation amplifies daytime peaks; sea-breeze timing and any residual cloud cover introduce the narrow spread seen across 31–34 °C probabilities. Short-range forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,621Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal guidance for above-normal summer temperatures, paired with ensemble model consensus from JMA and global systems, anchors trader focus on 32–33 °C outcomes for Tokyo’s July 14 maximum. Subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and limited ventilation amplifies daytime peaks; sea-breeze timing and any residual cloud cover introduce the narrow spread seen across 31–34 °C probabilities. Short-range forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$48,621Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal guidance for above-normal summer temperatures, paired with ensemble model consensus from JMA and global systems, anchors trader focus on 32–33 °C outcomes for Tokyo’s July 14 maximum. Subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and limited ventilation amplifies daytime peaks; sea-breeze timing and any residual cloud cover introduce the narrow spread seen across 31–34 °C probabilities. Short-range forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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