**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
14%
36°C
43%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
33°C or below
$530 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$1,691 Wol.
7%
35°C
$1,150 Wol.
14%
36°C
$1,333 Wol.
43%
37°C
$720 Wol.
34%
38°C
$1,159 Wol.
8%
39°C
$478 Wol.
1%
40°C
$356 Wol.
<1%
41°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
42°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$306 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,024Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,024Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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