National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport project a July 25 high near 91–92 °F under typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, anchoring the tight 45.5 % and 40 % implied probabilities on the 92–93 °F and 90–91 °F bins. Abundant low-level moisture and a modest sea-breeze circulation favor scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme heating while also limiting how far temperatures can fall below guidance. With only modest spread among short-range models and no strong signals for drier mid-level air or delayed thunderstorm initiation, traders see limited room for 94 °F-plus outcomes (9 %) or sub-90 °F results (under 9 % combined). The next 12Z NWS update and morning sounding data will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on July 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 25?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
79°F or below
$340 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$154 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$155 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$83 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$184 Wol.
3%
88-89°F
$321 Wol.
9%
90-91°F
$2,071 Wol.
45%
92-93°F
$1,269 Wol.
40%
94-95°F
$246 Wol.
6%
96-97°F
$125 Wol.
2%
98°F or higher
$186 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport project a July 25 high near 91–92 °F under typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, anchoring the tight 45.5 % and 40 % implied probabilities on the 92–93 °F and 90–91 °F bins. Abundant low-level moisture and a modest sea-breeze circulation favor scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme heating while also limiting how far temperatures can fall below guidance. With only modest spread among short-range models and no strong signals for drier mid-level air or delayed thunderstorm initiation, traders see limited room for 94 °F-plus outcomes (9 %) or sub-90 °F results (under 9 % combined). The next 12Z NWS update and morning sounding data will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,134Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport project a July 25 high near 91–92 °F under typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, anchoring the tight 45.5 % and 40 % implied probabilities on the 92–93 °F and 90–91 °F bins. Abundant low-level moisture and a modest sea-breeze circulation favor scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme heating while also limiting how far temperatures can fall below guidance. With only modest spread among short-range models and no strong signals for drier mid-level air or delayed thunderstorm initiation, traders see limited room for 94 °F-plus outcomes (9 %) or sub-90 °F results (under 9 % combined). The next 12Z NWS update and morning sounding data will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,134Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport project a July 25 high near 91–92 °F under typical mid-summer subtropical ridging, anchoring the tight 45.5 % and 40 % implied probabilities on the 92–93 °F and 90–91 °F bins. Abundant low-level moisture and a modest sea-breeze circulation favor scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme heating while also limiting how far temperatures can fall below guidance. With only modest spread among short-range models and no strong signals for drier mid-level air or delayed thunderstorm initiation, traders see limited room for 94 °F-plus outcomes (9 %) or sub-90 °F results (under 9 % combined). The next 12Z NWS update and morning sounding data will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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