National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 22?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 22?
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 33%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 33%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
77°F or below
$132 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$150 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$73 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$233 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$434 Wol.
12%
86-87°F
$810 Wol.
33%
88-89°F
$629 Wol.
43%
90-91°F
$234 Wol.
18%
92-93°F
$287 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$191 Wol.
2%
96°F or higher
$44 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,207Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,207Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently favor a daily maximum of 88–89°F in Miami on May 22, driven by persistent easterly flow, moderate sea-breeze convergence, and late-spring insolation under mostly sunny skies. These conditions align closely with climatological normals for the date while limiting afternoon convection that could cap temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for a brief shower or thunderstorm to trim the high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds therefore concentrates on the 86–91°F range, with the 88–89°F bin holding the clearest edge ahead of official Miami International Airport observations that will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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