National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 84°F in New York City on August 1 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F bin. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited spread, though ensemble guidance indicates modest potential for 86-87°F if daytime heating exceeds expectations amid variable cloud cover. Historical August averages hover around 85°F, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of probabilities across the 82-89°F range. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model updates or mesoscale developments likely to refine trader sentiment before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 1?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 14%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
75°F or below
$80 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$128 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$30 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$130 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$121 Wol.
10%
84-85°F
$1,934 Wol.
28%
86-87°F
$452 Wol.
41%
88-89°F
$300 Wol.
14%
90-91°F
$153 Wol.
5%
92-93°F
$120 Wol.
1%
94°F or higher
$46 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 84°F in New York City on August 1 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F bin. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited spread, though ensemble guidance indicates modest potential for 86-87°F if daytime heating exceeds expectations amid variable cloud cover. Historical August averages hover around 85°F, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of probabilities across the 82-89°F range. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model updates or mesoscale developments likely to refine trader sentiment before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,493Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 84°F in New York City on August 1 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F bin. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited spread, though ensemble guidance indicates modest potential for 86-87°F if daytime heating exceeds expectations amid variable cloud cover. Historical August averages hover around 85°F, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of probabilities across the 82-89°F range. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model updates or mesoscale developments likely to refine trader sentiment before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,493Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 84°F in New York City on August 1 under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85°F bin. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited spread, though ensemble guidance indicates modest potential for 86-87°F if daytime heating exceeds expectations amid variable cloud cover. Historical August averages hover around 85°F, providing climatological context for the tight clustering of probabilities across the 82-89°F range. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model updates or mesoscale developments likely to refine trader sentiment before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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