Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on July 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 10?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 6%
NOWE
$16,717 Wol.
NOWE
$16,717 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 6%
NOWE
$16,717 Wol.
NOWE
$16,717 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
79°F or below
$227 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,054 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,014 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$974 Wol.
4%
86-87°F
$2,013 Wol.
21%
88-89°F
$2,780 Wol.
39%
90-91°F
$2,788 Wol.
31%
92-93°F
$2,984 Wol.
6%
94-95°F
$1,871 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$526 Wol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$487 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,717Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,717Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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