Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 22?
29°C 33%
28°C 22%
27°C 14%
30°C 13%
NOWE
$12,010 Wol.
NOWE
$12,010 Wol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 22%
27°C 14%
30°C 13%
NOWE
$12,010 Wol.
NOWE
$12,010 Wol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
$414 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$951 Wol.
1%
24°C
$831 Wol.
2%
25°C
$864 Wol.
4%
26°C
$778 Wol.
9%
27°C
$1,486 Wol.
14%
28°C
$1,544 Wol.
22%
29°C
$1,295 Wol.
33%
30°C
$1,862 Wol.
13%
31°C
$976 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1,008 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,010Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$12,010Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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