Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration covering Seoul and Incheon, underpin the tightly bunched market probabilities around 33–36°C. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating, while elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Recent forecasts from sources like weather25.com project a 35°C high for Incheon on August 4 under light winds and minimal precipitation, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to subtle variations in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing. El Niño-driven above-average global temperatures add a broader warming bias, though urban heat island effects and any late-day sea breeze from the Yellow Sea could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and next global model runs will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
34°C 30%
35°C 24%
36°C 23%
33°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
21%
34°C
30%
35°C
24%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
35°C 24%
36°C 23%
33°C 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
$71 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$54 Wol.
1%
30°C
$100 Wol.
1%
31°C
$103 Wol.
2%
32°C
$3 Wol.
5%
33°C
$61 Wol.
21%
34°C
$48 Wol.
30%
35°C
$18 Wol.
24%
36°C
$172 Wol.
23%
37°C
$25 Wol.
5%
38°C or higher
$7 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration covering Seoul and Incheon, underpin the tightly bunched market probabilities around 33–36°C. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating, while elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Recent forecasts from sources like weather25.com project a 35°C high for Incheon on August 4 under light winds and minimal precipitation, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to subtle variations in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing. El Niño-driven above-average global temperatures add a broader warming bias, though urban heat island effects and any late-day sea breeze from the Yellow Sea could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and next global model runs will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$662Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration covering Seoul and Incheon, underpin the tightly bunched market probabilities around 33–36°C. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating, while elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Recent forecasts from sources like weather25.com project a 35°C high for Incheon on August 4 under light winds and minimal precipitation, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to subtle variations in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing. El Niño-driven above-average global temperatures add a broader warming bias, though urban heat island effects and any late-day sea breeze from the Yellow Sea could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and next global model runs will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$662Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with active warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration covering Seoul and Incheon, underpin the tightly bunched market probabilities around 33–36°C. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating, while elevated humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon limits nocturnal cooling and sustains daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Recent forecasts from sources like weather25.com project a 35°C high for Incheon on August 4 under light winds and minimal precipitation, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to subtle variations in steering flow and boundary-layer mixing. El Niño-driven above-average global temperatures add a broader warming bias, though urban heat island effects and any late-day sea breeze from the Yellow Sea could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and next global model runs will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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