Forecast models from major agencies show Toronto's August 2 high likely centered near 23–24 °C, with ensembles exhibiting notable spread from 21–26 °C driven by variable lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario and uncertain cloud cover. Recent runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating by several degrees. The dispersed market-implied odds reflect this genuine meteorological uncertainty rather than consensus around any single threshold. Traders will watch updated guidance from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and ECMWF through the evening of August 1, as even modest shifts in the 12–18 hour forecast window can move the most probable outcome across the 22–25 °C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 2?
24°C 35%
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
35%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$286 Wol.
1%
21°C
$427 Wol.
4%
22°C
$3,490 Wol.
23%
23°C
$473 Wol.
25%
24°C
$1,087 Wol.
35%
25°C
$830 Wol.
16%
26°C
$292 Wol.
2%
27°C
$246 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$191 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$289 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$287 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies show Toronto's August 2 high likely centered near 23–24 °C, with ensembles exhibiting notable spread from 21–26 °C driven by variable lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario and uncertain cloud cover. Recent runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating by several degrees. The dispersed market-implied odds reflect this genuine meteorological uncertainty rather than consensus around any single threshold. Traders will watch updated guidance from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and ECMWF through the evening of August 1, as even modest shifts in the 12–18 hour forecast window can move the most probable outcome across the 22–25 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,897Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies show Toronto's August 2 high likely centered near 23–24 °C, with ensembles exhibiting notable spread from 21–26 °C driven by variable lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario and uncertain cloud cover. Recent runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating by several degrees. The dispersed market-implied odds reflect this genuine meteorological uncertainty rather than consensus around any single threshold. Traders will watch updated guidance from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and ECMWF through the evening of August 1, as even modest shifts in the 12–18 hour forecast window can move the most probable outcome across the 22–25 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,897Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies show Toronto's August 2 high likely centered near 23–24 °C, with ensembles exhibiting notable spread from 21–26 °C driven by variable lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario and uncertain cloud cover. Recent runs highlight sensitivity to steering winds and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating by several degrees. The dispersed market-implied odds reflect this genuine meteorological uncertainty rather than consensus around any single threshold. Traders will watch updated guidance from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and ECMWF through the evening of August 1, as even modest shifts in the 12–18 hour forecast window can move the most probable outcome across the 22–25 °C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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