Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Wol.
$62,164 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 Wol.
$62,164 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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