Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
28%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
4%
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$61 Wol.
2%
33°C
$25 Wol.
2%
34°C
$60 Wol.
7%
35°C
$20 Wol.
20%
36°C
$18 Wol.
31%
37°C
$38 Wol.
28%
38°C
$168 Wol.
5%
39°C or higher
$80 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$521Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$521Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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