Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 20?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 Wol.
$45,369 Wol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 Wol.
$45,369 Wol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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