Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
30%
30°C
40%
31°C
19%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 11, 2026
26°C or below
$337 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$698 Wol.
3%
28°C
$743 Wol.
8%
29°C
$2,360 Wol.
30%
30°C
$1,621 Wol.
40%
31°C
$409 Wol.
19%
32°C
$221 Wol.
3%
33°C
$690 Wol.
1%
34°C
$281 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$474 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$628 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,462Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,462Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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