Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 Wol.
$41,324 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 Wol.
$41,324 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$722 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,789 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,758 Wol.
No
23°C
$11,454 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$12,739 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,628 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,821 Wol.
No
27°C
$528 Wol.
No
28°C
$893 Wol.
No
29°C
$782 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$210 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,324Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41,324Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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