**Forecast models currently indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 most likely between 21–23°C, with the market’s tight distribution between 21°C and 22°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover, precipitation, and westerly flow.** Multiple sources show highs clustered in this narrow range: WeatherBug projects around 22°C with a 50% storm chance, weather25.com and easeweather list 23°C, while Polish and GFS-based outlooks trend slightly lower near 20–21°C under increased westerly winds and scattered rain. This transitional late-summer pattern, following warmer late-August conditions (highs near 25–27°C), features moderate humidity, strengthening west winds, and partial cloudiness that limits diurnal heating. The close implied probabilities highlight how small differences in model runs—such as the exact hour of any showers or thickness of cloud decks—can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages for Warsaw (roughly 20–23°C highs) provide context, but the short lead time means the next official updates from European or global models will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
22°C 39%
21°C 36%
20°C 29%
23°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
29%
21°C
36%
22°C
39%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 36%
20°C 29%
23°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Wol.
3%
19°C
$0 Wol.
8%
20°C
$20 Wol.
29%
21°C
$143 Wol.
36%
22°C
$1,193 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
19%
24°C
$0 Wol.
6%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 most likely between 21–23°C, with the market’s tight distribution between 21°C and 22°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover, precipitation, and westerly flow.**
Multiple sources show highs clustered in this narrow range: WeatherBug projects around 22°C with a 50% storm chance, weather25.com and easeweather list 23°C, while Polish and GFS-based outlooks trend slightly lower near 20–21°C under increased westerly winds and scattered rain. This transitional late-summer pattern, following warmer late-August conditions (highs near 25–27°C), features moderate humidity, strengthening west winds, and partial cloudiness that limits diurnal heating.
The close implied probabilities highlight how small differences in model runs—such as the exact hour of any showers or thickness of cloud decks—can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages for Warsaw (roughly 20–23°C highs) provide context, but the short lead time means the next official updates from European or global models will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,355Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 most likely between 21–23°C, with the market’s tight distribution between 21°C and 22°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover, precipitation, and westerly flow.**
Multiple sources show highs clustered in this narrow range: WeatherBug projects around 22°C with a 50% storm chance, weather25.com and easeweather list 23°C, while Polish and GFS-based outlooks trend slightly lower near 20–21°C under increased westerly winds and scattered rain. This transitional late-summer pattern, following warmer late-August conditions (highs near 25–27°C), features moderate humidity, strengthening west winds, and partial cloudiness that limits diurnal heating.
The close implied probabilities highlight how small differences in model runs—such as the exact hour of any showers or thickness of cloud decks—can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages for Warsaw (roughly 20–23°C highs) provide context, but the short lead time means the next official updates from European or global models will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,355Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 most likely between 21–23°C, with the market’s tight distribution between 21°C and 22°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover, precipitation, and westerly flow.** Multiple sources show highs clustered in this narrow range: WeatherBug projects around 22°C with a 50% storm chance, weather25.com and easeweather list 23°C, while Polish and GFS-based outlooks trend slightly lower near 20–21°C under increased westerly winds and scattered rain. This transitional late-summer pattern, following warmer late-August conditions (highs near 25–27°C), features moderate humidity, strengthening west winds, and partial cloudiness that limits diurnal heating. The close implied probabilities highlight how small differences in model runs—such as the exact hour of any showers or thickness of cloud decks—can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages for Warsaw (roughly 20–23°C highs) provide context, but the short lead time means the next official updates from European or global models will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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