Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, driven by southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip toward 14–15°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloudiness or precipitation would moderate readings closer to 16–17°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 15°C, providing context for current trader positioning across tightly clustered outcomes. Model consensus remains stable but shows typical spread in boundary-layer details and timing of any frontal passage, sustaining uncertainty in the precise low and supporting diversified market-implied probabilities near the 24–29% level for mid-teens thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF or GFS ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
10°C or below 53%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
18°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
53%
11°C
32%
12°C
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
44%
20°C or higher
2%
10°C or below 53%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
18°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
53%
11°C
$130 Wol.
32%
12°C
$0 Wol.
47%
13°C
$0 Wol.
49%
14°C
$0 Wol.
49%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
49%
19°C
$0 Wol.
44%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, driven by southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip toward 14–15°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloudiness or precipitation would moderate readings closer to 16–17°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 15°C, providing context for current trader positioning across tightly clustered outcomes. Model consensus remains stable but shows typical spread in boundary-layer details and timing of any frontal passage, sustaining uncertainty in the precise low and supporting diversified market-implied probabilities near the 24–29% level for mid-teens thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF or GFS ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$130Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, driven by southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip toward 14–15°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloudiness or precipitation would moderate readings closer to 16–17°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 15°C, providing context for current trader positioning across tightly clustered outcomes. Model consensus remains stable but shows typical spread in boundary-layer details and timing of any frontal passage, sustaining uncertainty in the precise low and supporting diversified market-implied probabilities near the 24–29% level for mid-teens thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF or GFS ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$130Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 15–18°C range, driven by southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip toward 14–15°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased cloudiness or precipitation would moderate readings closer to 16–17°C. Historical late-August averages hover near 15°C, providing context for current trader positioning across tightly clustered outcomes. Model consensus remains stable but shows typical spread in boundary-layer details and timing of any frontal passage, sustaining uncertainty in the precise low and supporting diversified market-implied probabilities near the 24–29% level for mid-teens thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF or GFS ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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