Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 18?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 11%
NOWE
$37,563 Wol.
NOWE
$37,563 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 11%
NOWE
$37,563 Wol.
NOWE
$37,563 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
27°C or below
$15,714 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,012 Wol.
8%
29°C
$2,240 Wol.
25%
30°C
$1,832 Wol.
27%
31°C
$2,173 Wol.
27%
32°C
$2,114 Wol.
11%
33°C
$2,446 Wol.
2%
34°C
$2,050 Wol.
1%
35°C
$3,962 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$1,798 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,233 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,563Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,563Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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