Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 27?
34°C 49%
33°C 32%
35°C 7.8%
32°C 7.7%
$25,603 Wol.
$25,603 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
51%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 32%
35°C 7.8%
32°C 7.7%
$25,603 Wol.
$25,603 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
27°C or below
$2,049 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$828 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,231 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,797 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,411 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,221 Wol.
8%
33°C
$2,787 Wol.
32%
34°C
$2,933 Wol.
51%
35°C
$2,122 Wol.
8%
36°C
$4,063 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$2,160 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,603Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,603Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models place Wuhan's June 27 maximum in the 32–34 °C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 20.5–24 % for those exact outcomes. This positioning stems from the typical late-June influence of the western Pacific subtropical high over the Yangtze valley, which supports gradual warming after an early heat episode across southern China that raised regional baselines in mid-June. Ensemble spreads remain modest because short-range guidance shows limited disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, though local haze and humidity could cap peaks near 33 °C. Traders therefore assign low weight to extremes below 31 °C or above 35 °C, reflecting climatological norms where daily highs average near 32 °C. Refined runs from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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