**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$38,514 Wol.
$38,514 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
0
No
1
No
2
No
3
Yes
4
No
5
No
>5
No
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$38,514 Wol.
$38,514 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
0
$11,993 Wol.
No
1
$6,814 Wol.
No
2
$6,885 Wol.
No
3
$6,762 Wol.
Yes
4
$2,289 Wol.
No
5
$1,040 Wol.
No
>5
$2,731 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,514Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Wolumen
$38,514Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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