Recent data from Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics shows inbound tourist arrivals reaching 135,500 in September 2026, up 19% year-over-year, with a daily average of roughly 4,300 arrivals and hotel tourist nights doubling in the prior quarter to an average of 396,000 per month. This marks a sustained rebound from earlier 2026 lows tied to security operations, though volumes remain below pre-2023 benchmarks. Ben Gurion Airport passenger traffic has also approached September 2023 levels overall, driven partly by expanded Israeli carriers. These trends, alongside stable regional occupancy gains in key areas like Eilat, underpin trader consensus that monthly arrivals are unlikely to fall below 40,000 by January, reflected in the 78% probability on "No." Ongoing diplomatic and security dynamics could still influence future flows.