Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
24°C 84%
23°C 15%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$25,653 Wol.
NOWE
$25,653 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
84%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 84%
23°C 15%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$25,653 Wol.
NOWE
$25,653 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
18°C or below
$802 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$706 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$667 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,377 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1,354 Wol.
2%
23°C
$3,172 Wol.
15%
24°C
$5,053 Wol.
84%
25°C
$4,098 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,630 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,938 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,856 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,653Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,653Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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