Current forecast models for Shanghai on July 10 indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C as the Meiyu rainy season concludes, shifting toward clearer but still humid summer conditions with potential scattered thunderstorms. This timing introduces variability in radiative cooling and cloud cover that can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, supporting the closely matched market probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming persistent high humidity that limits nighttime temperature drops even under partial clearing. Traders are weighting ensemble model spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where differences in predicted precipitation timing and wind patterns create the observed distribution. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 10?
25°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
NOWE
$29,348 Wol.
NOWE
$29,348 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
NOWE
$29,348 Wol.
NOWE
$29,348 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
$697 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$582 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,414 Wol.
1%
24°C
$2,806 Wol.
1%
25°C
$3,682 Wol.
100%
26°C
$6,704 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5,559 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,517 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$614 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,816 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,958 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai on July 10 indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C as the Meiyu rainy season concludes, shifting toward clearer but still humid summer conditions with potential scattered thunderstorms. This timing introduces variability in radiative cooling and cloud cover that can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, supporting the closely matched market probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming persistent high humidity that limits nighttime temperature drops even under partial clearing. Traders are weighting ensemble model spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where differences in predicted precipitation timing and wind patterns create the observed distribution. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,348Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai on July 10 indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C as the Meiyu rainy season concludes, shifting toward clearer but still humid summer conditions with potential scattered thunderstorms. This timing introduces variability in radiative cooling and cloud cover that can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, supporting the closely matched market probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming persistent high humidity that limits nighttime temperature drops even under partial clearing. Traders are weighting ensemble model spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where differences in predicted precipitation timing and wind patterns create the observed distribution. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,348Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Shanghai on July 10 indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C as the Meiyu rainy season concludes, shifting toward clearer but still humid summer conditions with potential scattered thunderstorms. This timing introduces variability in radiative cooling and cloud cover that can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, supporting the closely matched market probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming persistent high humidity that limits nighttime temperature drops even under partial clearing. Traders are weighting ensemble model spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where differences in predicted precipitation timing and wind patterns create the observed distribution. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours could narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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