Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for reelection on November 3, 2026, driven by Massachusetts' deep-blue partisan lean—last Republican governor Charlie Baker left office in 2023—and Healey's 2022 landslide victory amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring Mike Kennealy, Mike Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve. Recent MassINC and UNH polls from May and April 2026 show Healey's approval dipping to net negative (39% approve, 45% disapprove) due to voter concerns over housing costs and living expenses, yet available head-to-head surveys maintain her double-digit leads over Republicans. Scenarios to challenge this include a credible Democratic primary upset on September 1, major scandal or health event for Healey, or unified GOP recruitment of a Baker-like moderate ahead of filing deadlines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMassachusetts Governor Election Winner
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
$25,272 Wol.
$25,272 Wol.

Democrat
96%

Republican
5%
$25,272 Wol.
$25,272 Wol.

Democrat
96%

Republican
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for reelection on November 3, 2026, driven by Massachusetts' deep-blue partisan lean—last Republican governor Charlie Baker left office in 2023—and Healey's 2022 landslide victory amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring Mike Kennealy, Mike Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve. Recent MassINC and UNH polls from May and April 2026 show Healey's approval dipping to net negative (39% approve, 45% disapprove) due to voter concerns over housing costs and living expenses, yet available head-to-head surveys maintain her double-digit leads over Republicans. Scenarios to challenge this include a credible Democratic primary upset on September 1, major scandal or health event for Healey, or unified GOP recruitment of a Baker-like moderate ahead of filing deadlines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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