The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean in Manhattan and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary features a crowded field including state assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, along with George Conway and Jack Schlossberg, yet any nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election. Recent polling and turnout projections highlight an older electorate favoring establishment candidates, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal resources. Historical margins exceeding 70 points underscore the structural barriers, though late developments such as candidate scandals or unusually high turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$17,171 Wol.
$17,171 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,171 Wol.
$17,171 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,681 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,490 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean in Manhattan and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary features a crowded field including state assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, along with George Conway and Jack Schlossberg, yet any nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election. Recent polling and turnout projections highlight an older electorate favoring establishment candidates, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal resources. Historical margins exceeding 70 points underscore the structural barriers, though late developments such as candidate scandals or unusually high turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,171Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean in Manhattan and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary features a crowded field including state assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, along with George Conway and Jack Schlossberg, yet any nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election. Recent polling and turnout projections highlight an older electorate favoring establishment candidates, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal resources. Historical margins exceeding 70 points underscore the structural barriers, though late developments such as candidate scandals or unusually high turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,171Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean in Manhattan and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. With longtime incumbent Jerry Nadler retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary features a crowded field including state assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, along with George Conway and Jack Schlossberg, yet any nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election. Recent polling and turnout projections highlight an older electorate favoring establishment candidates, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with minimal resources. Historical margins exceeding 70 points underscore the structural barriers, though late developments such as candidate scandals or unusually high turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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