Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote in California’s 36th congressional district, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November 3 general election. The district’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index, heavy Democratic registration edge in Los Angeles County, and history of double-digit Democratic margins underpin nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually elevated turnout among the smaller GOP base could narrow the outcome, though the structural Democratic advantage makes such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$34,993 Wol.
$34,993 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,993 Wol.
$34,993 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,049 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,944 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote in California’s 36th congressional district, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November 3 general election. The district’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index, heavy Democratic registration edge in Los Angeles County, and history of double-digit Democratic margins underpin nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually elevated turnout among the smaller GOP base could narrow the outcome, though the structural Democratic advantage makes such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,993Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote in California’s 36th congressional district, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November 3 general election. The district’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index, heavy Democratic registration edge in Los Angeles County, and history of double-digit Democratic margins underpin nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually elevated turnout among the smaller GOP base could narrow the outcome, though the structural Democratic advantage makes such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,993Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with 61 percent of the vote in California’s 36th congressional district, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November 3 general election. The district’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index, heavy Democratic registration edge in Los Angeles County, and history of double-digit Democratic margins underpin nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually elevated turnout among the smaller GOP base could narrow the outcome, though the structural Democratic advantage makes such shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania