**Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positions in several Montreal-area ridings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, supporting trader consensus on at least one seat win.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place QS at a mean of five seats (range 2–10), with safe or likely holds in Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, plus toss-ups in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve and Taschereau. Aggregated polling shows QS support near 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated among urban voters, which aligns with the party's incumbency advantages in those districts despite broader challenges from the PQ, Liberals, and CAQ. The election was formally called on August 27, with QS launching its campaign focused on retaining relevance in core strongholds. These factors, reflected in multiple nonpartisan models, underpin the elevated implied probability for a seat outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano94% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
94% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positions in several Montreal-area ridings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, supporting trader consensus on at least one seat win.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place QS at a mean of five seats (range 2–10), with safe or likely holds in Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, plus toss-ups in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve and Taschereau. Aggregated polling shows QS support near 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated among urban voters, which aligns with the party's incumbency advantages in those districts despite broader challenges from the PQ, Liberals, and CAQ. The election was formally called on August 27, with QS launching its campaign focused on retaining relevance in core strongholds. These factors, reflected in multiple nonpartisan models, underpin the elevated implied probability for a seat outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$278Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positions in several Montreal-area ridings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, supporting trader consensus on at least one seat win.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place QS at a mean of five seats (range 2–10), with safe or likely holds in Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, plus toss-ups in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve and Taschereau. Aggregated polling shows QS support near 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated among urban voters, which aligns with the party's incumbency advantages in those districts despite broader challenges from the PQ, Liberals, and CAQ. The election was formally called on August 27, with QS launching its campaign focused on retaining relevance in core strongholds. These factors, reflected in multiple nonpartisan models, underpin the elevated implied probability for a seat outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$278Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...**Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positions in several Montreal-area ridings ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, supporting trader consensus on at least one seat win.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place QS at a mean of five seats (range 2–10), with safe or likely holds in Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, plus toss-ups in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve and Taschereau. Aggregated polling shows QS support near 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated among urban voters, which aligns with the party's incumbency advantages in those districts despite broader challenges from the PQ, Liberals, and CAQ. The election was formally called on August 27, with QS launching its campaign focused on retaining relevance in core strongholds. These factors, reflected in multiple nonpartisan models, underpin the elevated implied probability for a seat outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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