Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead for first place ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec, CAQ, and Parti Conservateur du Québec closely bunched for third in popular vote projections. The PLQ’s support has declined notably among francophones while remaining concentrated in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, whereas CAQ gains appear to draw from both PLQ and undecided respondents in regional ridings. PCQ maintains steady but lower backing, particularly in certain rural and suburban areas. This distribution keeps third-place probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to hinge on turnout differentials, late-campaign shifts in francophone preferences, and how effectively each party consolidates its core regional and linguistic voter bases before the October 5 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPLQ 42%
CAQ 31%
PCQ 18%
PQ 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
42%
CAQ
31%
PCQ
18%
PQ
9%
QS
4%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 42%
CAQ 31%
PCQ 18%
PQ 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$885 Wol.
42%
CAQ
$631 Wol.
31%
PCQ
$239 Wol.
18%
PQ
$850 Wol.
9%
QS
$686 Wol.
4%
PVQ
$369 Wol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead for first place ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec, CAQ, and Parti Conservateur du Québec closely bunched for third in popular vote projections. The PLQ’s support has declined notably among francophones while remaining concentrated in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, whereas CAQ gains appear to draw from both PLQ and undecided respondents in regional ridings. PCQ maintains steady but lower backing, particularly in certain rural and suburban areas. This distribution keeps third-place probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to hinge on turnout differentials, late-campaign shifts in francophone preferences, and how effectively each party consolidates its core regional and linguistic voter bases before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,659Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead for first place ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec, CAQ, and Parti Conservateur du Québec closely bunched for third in popular vote projections. The PLQ’s support has declined notably among francophones while remaining concentrated in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, whereas CAQ gains appear to draw from both PLQ and undecided respondents in regional ridings. PCQ maintains steady but lower backing, particularly in certain rural and suburban areas. This distribution keeps third-place probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to hinge on turnout differentials, late-campaign shifts in francophone preferences, and how effectively each party consolidates its core regional and linguistic voter bases before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$3,659Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead for first place ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec, CAQ, and Parti Conservateur du Québec closely bunched for third in popular vote projections. The PLQ’s support has declined notably among francophones while remaining concentrated in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, whereas CAQ gains appear to draw from both PLQ and undecided respondents in regional ridings. PCQ maintains steady but lower backing, particularly in certain rural and suburban areas. This distribution keeps third-place probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to hinge on turnout differentials, late-campaign shifts in francophone preferences, and how effectively each party consolidates its core regional and linguistic voter bases before the October 5 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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