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Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 39%

Christine Fréchette 4.5%

Éric Duhaime 2.1%

Polymarket

$24,373 Wol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 39%

Christine Fréchette 4.5%

Éric Duhaime 2.1%

Polymarket

$24,373 Wol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$4,440 Wol.

56%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,615 Wol.

39%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$2,822 Wol.

4%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,020 Wol.

2%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,633 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,627 Wol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,217 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon maintaining a narrow edge over Quebec Liberal Party leader Charles Milliard, with both parties near 32 percent support in early May surveys and the PQ projected to secure a National Assembly majority through stronger francophone ridings. This positioning has driven trader consensus toward St-Pierre Plamondon at 56 percent implied probability for the October 2026 election. Milliard’s 38.5 percent reflects gains in Montreal and anglophone areas after his February acclamation, yet limited progress among francophone voters. Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 4.5 percent amid party fatigue following François Legault’s January resignation and the April leadership transition. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal, with the close PQ-PLQ contest underscoring uncertainty in the five months remaining.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$24,373
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls show Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon maintaining a narrow edge over Quebec Liberal Party leader Charles Milliard, with both parties near 32 percent support in early May surveys and the PQ projected to secure a National Assembly majority through stronger francophone ridings. This positioning has driven trader consensus toward St-Pierre Plamondon at 56 percent implied probability for the October 2026 election. Milliard’s 38.5 percent reflects gains in Montreal and anglophone areas after his February acclamation, yet limited progress among francophone voters. Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 4.5 percent amid party fatigue following François Legault’s January resignation and the April leadership transition. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal, with the close PQ-PLQ contest underscoring uncertainty in the five months remaining.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$24,373
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Premier of Quebec" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" z 56%, za nim "Charles Milliard" z 39%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 56¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Premier of Quebec" wygenerował $24.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Premier of Quebec", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Premier of Quebec" jest "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" z 56%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Charles Milliard" z 39%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Premier of Quebec" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.