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Polityka·Prawybory

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Polityka·Prawybory

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$192,904 Wol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$192,904 Wol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$11,410 Wol.

95%

Bernadette Wilson

$14,095 Wol.

75%

Click Bishop

$40,553 Wol.

56%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$2,411 Wol.

58%

Matt Claman

$26,719 Wol.

41%

Dave Bronson

$2,109 Wol.

38%

Treg Taylor

$56,311 Wol.

33%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$12,086 Wol.

17%

Hank Kroll

$789 Wol.

13%

Matt Heilala

$3,004 Wol.

13%

Adam Crum

$5,267 Wol.

9%

James Parkin

$1,728 Wol.

7%

Bruce Walden

$2,095 Wol.

5%

Edna DeVries

$11,990 Wol.

5%

Shelley Hughes

$2,338 Wol.

4%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limits have opened a crowded field for Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, where the top four candidates advance to the ranked-choice voting general election. Recent April polls from Alaska Survey Research and Dittman show Democrat Tom Begich leading at 19-21%, ahead of Republicans Bernadette Wilson (up to 13.5%), Dave Bronson (7-10%), and Click Bishop (6-9%), highlighting GOP vote fragmentation among over 10 contenders that could allow multiple Democrats or nonpartisans to advance. The June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst, with early fundraising reports indicating competitive resources; traders weigh Begich's momentum against Alaska's Republican lean and undecided voter turnout in this uncertain race.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$192,904
Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limits have opened a crowded field for Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, where the top four candidates advance to the ranked-choice voting general election. Recent April polls from Alaska Survey Research and Dittman show Democrat Tom Begich leading at 19-21%, ahead of Republicans Bernadette Wilson (up to 13.5%), Dave Bronson (7-10%), and Click Bishop (6-9%), highlighting GOP vote fragmentation among over 10 contenders that could allow multiple Democrats or nonpartisans to advance. The June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst, with early fundraising reports indicating competitive resources; traders weigh Begich's momentum against Alaska's Republican lean and undecided voter turnout in this uncertain race.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$192,904
Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Tom Begich" z 95%, za nim "Bernadette Wilson" z 75%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 95¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" wygenerował $192.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 10, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" jest "Tom Begich" z 95%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 95% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Bernadette Wilson" z 75%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.