The solidly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her party's nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report classifies the race as solidly Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas composition and historical margins. With the November 3 general election roughly three months away, limited campaign developments or external shocks would be required to alter the implied probability, though national political shifts or localized turnout surges remain theoretical variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-01 House Election Winner
TX-01 House Election Winner
$18,641 Wol.
$18,641 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,641 Wol.
$18,641 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,997 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,643 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her party's nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report classifies the race as solidly Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas composition and historical margins. With the November 3 general election roughly three months away, limited campaign developments or external shocks would be required to alter the implied probability, though national political shifts or localized turnout surges remain theoretical variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,641Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her party's nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report classifies the race as solidly Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas composition and historical margins. With the November 3 general election roughly three months away, limited campaign developments or external shocks would be required to alter the implied probability, though national political shifts or localized turnout surges remain theoretical variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$18,641Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran advanced unopposed through the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her party's nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report classifies the race as solidly Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas composition and historical margins. With the November 3 general election roughly three months away, limited campaign developments or external shocks would be required to alter the implied probability, though national political shifts or localized turnout surges remain theoretical variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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