Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,489 Wol.
72%
Republican Party
$1,464 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,896Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,896Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in the November general election. The district, rated a toss-up by forecasters, features a narrow partisan balance and delivered Van Orden only a 51.4% victory in 2024. A June 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46%, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party resources. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 73% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s swing character, Cooke’s prior near-miss, and the competitive midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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