Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$32,563 Wol.
$32,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
31%
$32,563 Wol.
$32,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,456 Wol.
65%
Democratic Party
$20,107 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a structural edge in Washington's 5th congressional district, a moderately Republican-leaning area covering eastern Washington including Spokane. The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index, and multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Baumgartner advanced easily through the August 4 top-two primary, while earlier Tavern Research polling showed him leading Democratic contenders by six points in head-to-head matchups. These factors, combined with the seat's recent election history and the absence of major late-cycle shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee over the Democratic alternative.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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