Texas's 30th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflecting consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House elections. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a substantial voter registration and turnout advantage. Nonpartisan analysts across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, an extreme national partisan swing, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$47,064 Wol.
$47,064 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$47,064 Wol.
$47,064 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$41,487 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflecting consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House elections. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a substantial voter registration and turnout advantage. Nonpartisan analysts across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, an extreme national partisan swing, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflecting consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House elections. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a substantial voter registration and turnout advantage. Nonpartisan analysts across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, an extreme national partisan swing, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$47,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflecting consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House elections. Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Democratic nominee Frederick Haynes secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff, yet faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats hold a substantial voter registration and turnout advantage. Nonpartisan analysts across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, an extreme national partisan swing, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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