Texas's 30th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the state, anchored in majority-Black and Hispanic areas of Dallas with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent double-digit presidential margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, drew a strong Democratic nominee in Frederick Haynes III, who secured 73% in the March primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has routinely exceeded 75% in recent general elections. Independent candidate Oxford Nordberg adds little competitive pressure. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline, limited polling signals of movement, and absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$47,064 Wol.
$47,064 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$47,064 Wol.
$47,064 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$41,487 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the state, anchored in majority-Black and Hispanic areas of Dallas with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent double-digit presidential margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, drew a strong Democratic nominee in Frederick Haynes III, who secured 73% in the March primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has routinely exceeded 75% in recent general elections. Independent candidate Oxford Nordberg adds little competitive pressure. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline, limited polling signals of movement, and absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the state, anchored in majority-Black and Hispanic areas of Dallas with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent double-digit presidential margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, drew a strong Democratic nominee in Frederick Haynes III, who secured 73% in the March primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has routinely exceeded 75% in recent general elections. Independent candidate Oxford Nordberg adds little competitive pressure. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline, limited polling signals of movement, and absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$47,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the state, anchored in majority-Black and Hispanic areas of Dallas with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent double-digit presidential margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The open seat, created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, drew a strong Democratic nominee in Frederick Haynes III, who secured 73% in the March primary. Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced through a low-turnout May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where the party has routinely exceeded 75% in recent general elections. Independent candidate Oxford Nordberg adds little competitive pressure. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline, limited polling signals of movement, and absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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