South Dakota's at-large congressional seat features an open race after the incumbent shifted to the gubernatorial contest, leaving Republican nominee Marty Jackley as the clear frontrunner following his dominant primary win with Trump endorsement and over 79 percent support. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns since 2008, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Gronli's unopposed nomination in a low-visibility contest underpin trader consensus around a strong GOP outcome. Recent polling reinforces this positioning. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout, or unusual third-party dynamics remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$28,708 Wol.
$28,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
3%
$28,708 Wol.
$28,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,029 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,678 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional seat features an open race after the incumbent shifted to the gubernatorial contest, leaving Republican nominee Marty Jackley as the clear frontrunner following his dominant primary win with Trump endorsement and over 79 percent support. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns since 2008, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Gronli's unopposed nomination in a low-visibility contest underpin trader consensus around a strong GOP outcome. Recent polling reinforces this positioning. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout, or unusual third-party dynamics remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional seat features an open race after the incumbent shifted to the gubernatorial contest, leaving Republican nominee Marty Jackley as the clear frontrunner following his dominant primary win with Trump endorsement and over 79 percent support. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns since 2008, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Gronli's unopposed nomination in a low-visibility contest underpin trader consensus around a strong GOP outcome. Recent polling reinforces this positioning. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout, or unusual third-party dynamics remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional seat features an open race after the incumbent shifted to the gubernatorial contest, leaving Republican nominee Marty Jackley as the clear frontrunner following his dominant primary win with Trump endorsement and over 79 percent support. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns since 2008, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Gronli's unopposed nomination in a low-visibility contest underpin trader consensus around a strong GOP outcome. Recent polling reinforces this positioning. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unprecedented national Democratic surge altering turnout, or unusual third-party dynamics remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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