South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a deeply Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2008 and no Democratic victory in the general election for nearly two decades. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a competitive Republican primary won decisively by state Attorney General Marty Jackley following the June 2 vote. Jackley secured strong party support, including an endorsement from President Trump, while Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Democratic surge or major candidate-specific development before Election Day could still narrow the margin in this low-turnout environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$28,708 Wol.
$28,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
3%
$28,708 Wol.
$28,708 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,029 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,678 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a deeply Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2008 and no Democratic victory in the general election for nearly two decades. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a competitive Republican primary won decisively by state Attorney General Marty Jackley following the June 2 vote. Jackley secured strong party support, including an endorsement from President Trump, while Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Democratic surge or major candidate-specific development before Election Day could still narrow the margin in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a deeply Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2008 and no Democratic victory in the general election for nearly two decades. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a competitive Republican primary won decisively by state Attorney General Marty Jackley following the June 2 vote. Jackley secured strong party support, including an endorsement from President Trump, while Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Democratic surge or major candidate-specific development before Election Day could still narrow the margin in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,708Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a deeply Republican stronghold, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2008 and no Democratic victory in the general election for nearly two decades. The open seat, created after incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, drew a competitive Republican primary won decisively by state Attorney General Marty Jackley following the June 2 vote. Jackley secured strong party support, including an endorsement from President Trump, while Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans hold supermajorities in the legislature and dominate statewide voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, though an unexpected national Democratic surge or major candidate-specific development before Election Day could still narrow the margin in this low-turnout environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania