South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,933 Wol.
$16,933 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$16,933 Wol.
$16,933 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,459 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,933Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,933Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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