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Polityka·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Polityka·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 18%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Wol.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 18%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Wol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 Wol.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Wol.

18%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 Wol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Wol.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Wol.

3%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Wol.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Wol.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,127 Wol.

18%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,133 Wol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Wol.

3%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Wol.

11%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$14,540
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$14,540
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Giorgia Meloni" z 43%, za nim "Elly Schlein" z 18%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 43¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" wygenerował $14.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next Prime Minister of Italy?", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" jest "Giorgia Meloni" z 43%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 43% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Elly Schlein" z 18%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.