Trader consensus in this market assigns Andy Burnham the strongest implied probability for becoming the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, reflecting his established profile as a senior Labour figure with a record of regional leadership and prior national leadership interest. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner follow at lower levels, consistent with their current ministerial roles and party standing under Keir Starmer. The modest share for “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer remains in office through the year amid the fixed parliamentary term, while lower prices on Conservative names such as Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick align with the party’s position in opposition. Recent internal Labour discussions around economic performance and voter sentiment have contributed to the current distribution of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 56.5%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,276,672 Wol.
$7,276,672 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.5%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,276,672 Wol.
$7,276,672 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in this market assigns Andy Burnham the strongest implied probability for becoming the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, reflecting his established profile as a senior Labour figure with a record of regional leadership and prior national leadership interest. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner follow at lower levels, consistent with their current ministerial roles and party standing under Keir Starmer. The modest share for “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer remains in office through the year amid the fixed parliamentary term, while lower prices on Conservative names such as Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick align with the party’s position in opposition. Recent internal Labour discussions around economic performance and voter sentiment have contributed to the current distribution of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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