Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled to begin June 1, 2027 after a November 17, 2026 pretrial hearing. No bail application has succeeded, and Venezuelan authorities under acting President Delcy Rodríguez have demanded his release on diplomatic grounds without effect. Trader views hinge on the pace of U.S. legal proceedings, any potential plea negotiations or diplomatic arrangements between Washington and Caracas, and broader foreign policy signals that could alter detention status before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2,687,688 Wol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 grudnia
7%
$2,687,688 Wol.
31 grudnia
$292,239 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled to begin June 1, 2027 after a November 17, 2026 pretrial hearing. No bail application has succeeded, and Venezuelan authorities under acting President Delcy Rodríguez have demanded his release on diplomatic grounds without effect. Trader views hinge on the pace of U.S. legal proceedings, any potential plea negotiations or diplomatic arrangements between Washington and Caracas, and broader foreign policy signals that could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,687,688Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled to begin June 1, 2027 after a November 17, 2026 pretrial hearing. No bail application has succeeded, and Venezuelan authorities under acting President Delcy Rodríguez have demanded his release on diplomatic grounds without effect. Trader views hinge on the pace of U.S. legal proceedings, any potential plea negotiations or diplomatic arrangements between Washington and Caracas, and broader foreign policy signals that could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$2,687,688Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled to begin June 1, 2027 after a November 17, 2026 pretrial hearing. No bail application has succeeded, and Venezuelan authorities under acting President Delcy Rodríguez have demanded his release on diplomatic grounds without effect. Trader views hinge on the pace of U.S. legal proceedings, any potential plea negotiations or diplomatic arrangements between Washington and Caracas, and broader foreign policy signals that could alter detention status before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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